Asymmetric Policy
Yesterday's friend may not be today's ally. We must judge our friends based upon past performances, today's actions and tomorrow's expectations.
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WAR !  On 9/11/01 you were drafted into war. You have no choice -- you're in. You may support retaliation. Or, you may be against protecting yourself from further attacks even after having been surprised on 9/11, and threatened frequently since. We are living through World War III regardless of your perception. Regardless of your politics, this is fact:  This war must be won. The question is, are we going to win it soon or are we going to fail to effectively retaliate making it a long, costly war?
To see an impending danger and not defend your nation is to be a coward.
To see an impending danger and defend your nation anyway is to be honored.

The Foundation of Asymmetric Policy Is Self-Defense.
We have not yet ended the beginning and the midway point is years away.
Iranian Exacts Revenge After 28 Years
January 20, 1981, Ronald Reagan was sworn into office. Concurrent with that change, the Iranian kidnappers released the US embassy hostages they had taken 444 days before.
According to some hostages and upon examining photographs of the ordeal, it has been determined that one of the kidnappers was the man who is now president of Iran. This man, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, has sworn to wipe Israel off the face of the earth and to destroy the great Satan, the USA.
Consider January 20, 2009. The US could be preparing to celebrate the inauguration of President Obama instead of President McCain. It has been 28 years since President Reagan faced down and humiliated the Iranian terrorists. What might one of those terrorists -- now president of Iran -- do to save face and make up for his humiliation?
Consider the situation that is inverse to that of 1981. Terrorists around the world know and believe that the new US president was elected on a plank of peace, passivity, and withdrawal from Iraq and a winding down of all military involvement around the world.
Consider the mind and rabid anger of leaders such as Ahmadinejad who now controls weaponry and an army of dedicated fanatics willing to die for him and Allah.
Consider how Ahmadinejad might choose to test the new US president.
Perhaps he will order his army to swarm across the border into Iraq. They would be armed with any weaponry available since the attack would continue into Iraq with confrontation with US military that would be ordered to pull back -- retreat.
Likely the new US president, being of a passive, non-militarist nature, and having been elected to pacify our enemies would order his or her forces to retreat so that he or she could talk with Ahmadinejad.
Consider other options available to Ahmadinejad. He could attack Israel. He might coordinate his attack with Hezbollah forces that he has been arming for years. While Iran fired missiles and sent troops into Israel, Hezbollah could attack from the other border.
Consider other revenge tactics Ahmadinejad might implement. Now prepare to deal with any of them. Can you?

On The Eve Of Retaliation Upon The War Against Terrorism's Iraqi Front

Headlines state, "Diplomatic Failure," and even go so far as to specifically name nations, organizations, and individual failures.  Pundits and commentators, overly empowered by this Age of Information, repeat that the War Against Terrorism's Iraqi Front was provoked by a failure in diplomatic negotiations.
To believe that any specific diplomatic effort failed and that specifically because of that failure a new war front was established, indicates a mistaken and incomplete perspective.  There are pundits who believe that efforts by all parties including the 1991 coalition, the UN, the Arab League, today's coalition, and President Bush's work to disarm Hussein's regime are diplomatic failures.  This mistaken perspective masks the higher-level facts that actually motivate massive changes.
To believe that 12 years of efforts by so many organizations and individuals on so many fronts have failed, is to implicitly believe that all diplomatic efforts will eventually succeed given enough time no matter what nations and what type of leaderships are involved in the diplomatic negotiations.  The practical points include, "How much time can be allowed?  How reasonable is each involved party?  How long can diplomatic negotiators ignore and disregard macro and micro ramifications of non-action?  Will more negotiations change the performance of antagonists?  Will more time ameliorate the reasonable demands of the protagonists?  Will a reasonable amount of time correct past and current damages and result in significantly better conditions?
Certainly, when these questions are answered as they have been regarding Hussein's Iraqi regime's performance over the last three decades, then yes, diplomacy has failed.  It has failed due to the intransigence of Hussein's Iraqi regime.  It has failed because Hussein-like regimes do not act according to reasonable civilized norms.
There comes a time in the course of civilized diplomatic negotiations when even diplomats need to admit that a situation  ---  for example, one involving a despotic, megalomaniacal dictator, intent upon massive domination with no regard for human life or personal liberties  ---  actually requires pursuit on another level.  Sometimes that next level includes the use of force.  This is the case in today's War Against Terrorism's Iraqi Front.  Use of the next level of negotiations to force surrender of despots and weapons of mass killing was appropriately initiated on March 17, 2003.
How effectively the War Against Terrorism's Iraqi Front is executed will identify whether or not we are able to handle World War III or an eruption of extremist activism empowered by technology. How effectively it is fought to successful completion will identify our strength of character.

 

The Long Trek Toward Success In The War Against Terrorism's Iraqi Front

Headlines scream, "Looting By Iraqis," "US Fails To Meet Its Peacekeeping Obligations," "Iraqis Complain US Deposed Hussein, But Failed To Save National Treasures."  It took the US-led coalition less than three weeks to liberate the Iraqi people.  Their despotic dictator had been in control for 34 years, built a secret police structure perhaps more effective than the Nazi's, murdered hundreds of thousands of Iraqis, invaded two sovereign nations, stole billions of dollars, tortured and terrified 23 million people of whom 80% were born  ---  and therefore spent their entire lives  ---  living in demented confinement.

The United States has proven again, and in a different manner, that by living under a capitalistic, representative democracy and making quality education available for all its citizens, a nation can provide an environment wherein most individuals can achieve and succeed.  It also demonstrated that when that nation of successful individuals is threatened from without it will retaliate to protect itself.   ...And most importantly, that nation will destroy the force of evil that threatens its existence.
Immediately upon being liberated, the Iraqi people acted as any living creatures would naturally react to having their cage doors opened. The Iraqi people ran free.  In the course of this running and celebrating they took out their one-third century long, pent up vengeance upon government buildings, symbols of the Hussein regime, and searched everywhere for remains and records of their family members and friends who had disappeared over the last decades.  This free and natural quest by everyday people gained momentum and turned into wild, uncontrollable looting.   Acting just like sports fans who are ecstatic because their team won, the Iraqi people  ---  with more justification than sports fans  ---  went too far and their actions turned into looting.  All this lasted for some four or five days, depending upon the city.
But fueled by the media  ---  the same media who just days before had announced that it knew the US-led coalition's Strategic Battle Plan was seriously flawed and was destined to fail  ---  the Iraqi people tried to use media cameras in search of help, but instead were lured into the media's spider web.   The media, always searching for pathetic pawns, placed on stage select Iraqis with legitimate complaints about looting of businesses and museums  ---  all this within hours of liberation and before soldiers had time to secure the cities and make them safe.  The media shouted about the looting subplot and under-played the main plots of liberation, the end of Hussein's regime, and the amazingly accurate and limited use of massive munitions and firepower by coalition forces.  And the media failed to highlight the US's amazing use of technology to surgically destroy only military targets and leave 98% of civilian targets intact.  And the media failed to highlight the amazingly low number of civilian casualties and the still too high, but relatively low number of coalition military deaths required to complete the liberation of Iraq.
The Iraqi people demonstrated that they are like all of us:   They are frail and can get scared when placed in a strange new situation.  In their case the strange situation is liberty and the freedom to do what they want when they want to do it.
The time has come for everyone to take responsibility.  The Iraqi people can now demonstrate how civilized they are by controlling their looters and joining together beyond tribal boundaries to build a new, free and prosperous Iraq.
The United States and it genuine allies  ---  who are few beyond the again great Britain  ---  must understand that today's world is not controlled by gentlemen whose handshakes are their bond.  It is filled with many nations whose leaders follow polls of populaces who do not understand progress can best be made through hard work, not through deceit and thievery.  These so-called leaders are often bent upon acquiring power the old fashioned way rather than through building, educating and ensuring meaningful work to build productive societies.
That is why the United States must implement the asymmetric policy theorem, "Yesterday's friend may not be today's ally.  We must judge our friends based upon past performances, today's actions and tomorrow's expectations."
By Arnaud de Borchgrave
UPI Editor at Large
From the International Desk
Published 3/21/2003, 2:46 PM

"A group of American anti-war demonstrators who came to Iraq with Japanese human shield volunteers made it across the [Jordanian] border today with 14 hours of uncensored video, all shot without Iraqi government minders present. Kenneth Joseph, a young American pastor with the Assyrian Church of the East, told UPI the trip "had shocked me back to reality." Some of the Iraqis he interviewed on camera "told me they would commit suicide if American bombing didn't start. They were willing to see their homes demolished to gain their freedom from Saddam's bloody tyranny. They convinced me that Saddam was a monster the likes of which the world had not seen since Stalin and Hitler. He and his sons are sick sadists. Their tales of slow torture and killing made me ill, such as people put in a huge shredder for plastic products, feet first so they could hear their screams as bodies got chewed up from foot to head."
 
Analysis Survey
1.)  Imagine if the Bush administration, CIA & FBI teams had prevented the attacks on September 11.  The media would be talking about 20 Middle Eastern men, "Mostly Saudi citizens, potential terrorists who had planned multiple attacks against civilian and government buildings on the U.S. mainland."  If the attacks had been thwarted, what would be happening today?
Lawyers & Rights groups would be screaming about the Saudi 20, their rights and illegal detentions.
The administration, CIA & FBI would be hailed as heroes.
The administration, CIA & FBI would be attacked as right-wing nuts abusing everyone's rights.
Most people would have forgotten about it by now.
2.)  Should nations of the civilized world join to declare a new level & type of war that crosses national borders in order to fight terrorism?

             Yes           No

3.)  Do you think people realize that the billions of dollars to be spent building and activating the military and rebuilding and repairing destroyed structures and infrastructures will purchase new products (building materials, vehicles, office furniture, cement, telecommunications equipment, etc.), purchase services (architects, designers, waitresses, etc.) and, therefore pay salaries (construction workers, computer programmers, engineers, truck drivers, etc.)?

            Yes            No            Yes, and I understand that it will add to the economic recovery.

4.)  Should nations of the civilized world join to declare a new level & type of war that crosses national borders in order to fight terrorism?

             Yes           No

5.)  Do you consider the terrorist attack on 9/11/2001 against America an act of war?

             Yes           No          Yes, thousands have been killed -- more than died in some declared wars.
        If not an act of war, what would you call it?

6.)  About the events of September 11, 2001:
Several words accurately describe our feelings, emotions, pain and the many other aspects of the day.  Listed below are some of the words used by print and TV media.  Each word is followed by its definition from the American Heritage Dictionary.
Please read the list & select the one word (based on its definition) that you believe is appropriate as an overall description of the event.
 
Disaster:  An occurrence causing widespread destruction and distress.
Tragedy:  A drama or literary work in which the main character is brought to ruin or suffers extreme sorrow, especially as a consequence of a tragic flaw, a moral weakness or an inability to cope with unfavorable circumstances.
Attack:    To set upon with violent force.
Catastrophe:  A great, often sudden calamity.
None of the above.   Instead, I call it:
I don't want to think about it.
7.)  Throughout history there have been several times when millions of ordinary people have followed demagogues like Hitler, Stalin and bin Laden who are driven by hatred, ignorance, use violence, and demand killing masses of people that are different from them.  Do you find this historical perspective comforting in light of current events?
Yes
No
Yes, I hadn't thought about that.
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